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BBCP (Concrete Pumping Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.10% (As of Jul. 04, 2025)


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What is Concrete Pumping Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Concrete Pumping Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.10%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Concrete Pumping Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Concrete Pumping Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Concrete Pumping Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Concrete Pumping Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Concrete Pumping Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Concrete Pumping Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.96

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.10%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Concrete Pumping Holdings  (NAS:BBCP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Concrete Pumping Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Concrete Pumping Holdings Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
500 E. 84th Avenue, Suite A-5, Thornton, CO, USA, 80229
Concrete Pumping Holdings Inc is a provider of concrete pumping services and concrete waste management services in the fragmented United States and United Kingdom markets. Its large fleet of specialized pumping equipment and trained operators position it to deliver concrete placement solutions. The company's operating segment includes U.S. Concrete Pumping; U.K. Operations; U.S. Concrete Waste Management Services and Corporate. It generates maximum revenue from the U.S. Concrete Pumping segment. Geographically, it generates majority of the revenue from its business in United States.
Executives
Stephen Alarcon director PENINSULA PACIFIC, LLC, 10250 CONSTELLATION BLVD., SUITE 2230, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Bruce F. Young director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Ryan Beres director ARGAND PARTNERS, 28 WEST 44TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Armstron Thomas K Jr director C/O TK INVESTMENTS LLC, 4908 WEST BRIAR DRIVE, FORT WORTH TX 76109
John M Piecuch director 2925 BRIARPARK, SUITE 1050, HOUSTON TX 77042
Brent M Stevens director, 10 percent owner PO BOX 5239, KETCHUM ID 83340
Brown David A B director
Matthew Homme director 28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Brian Hodges director C/O INDUSTREA ACQUISITION CORP., 28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Argand Partners, Lp 10 percent owner C/O INDUSTREA ACQUISITION CORP., 28 WEST 44TH STREET, SUITE 501, NEW YORK NY 10036
Owl Creek Sri Master Fund, Ltd. 10 percent owner 89 NEXUS WAY, 2ND FLOOR, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1205
Owl Creek Ii, L.p. 10 percent owner 640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Owl Creek I, L.p. 10 percent owner 640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Owl Creek Advisors, Llc 10 percent owner 640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Jeffrey A Altman 10 percent owner 640 FIFTH AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019