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NTGR (Netgear) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Jul. 01, 2025)


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What is Netgear Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Netgear's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Netgear's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Communication Equipment subindustry, Netgear's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Netgear's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Netgear's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Netgear's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Netgear Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.74

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Netgear  (NAS:NTGR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Netgear Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Netgear Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Netgear Inc (NAS:NTGR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
350 East Plumeria Drive, San Jose, CA, USA, 95134
Netgear Inc provider of networking technologies for businesses, homes, and service providers. It delivers a wide range of intelligent solutions designed to unleash the full potential of connectivity. The group has two segments: NETGEAR for Business and Connected Home which offers reliable, easy-to-use, high-performance networking solutions, including switches, routers, access points, software, and AV over IP technologies, tailored to meet the diverse needs of organizations of all sizes. The Connected Home segment offers connectivity, powerful performance, and enhanced security features right out of the box, designed to help keep families safe online, and Others. It conduct business across three geographic territories: Americas; Europe, Middle East and Africa; and Asia Pacific.
Executives
Murray Bryan officer: CFO 350 E. PLUMERIA DR., SAN JOSE CA 95134
Thomas H Waechter director
Shravan Goli director 1040 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10016
Sarah Butterfass director 350 E. PLUMERIA DR., SAN JOSE CA 95134
Heidi Cormack officer: SVP, Marketing 350 E. PLUMERIA DR., SAN JOSE CA 95134
Michael A Werdann officer: SVP of Worldwide Sales 4500 GREAT AMERICAN PARKWAY, C/O NETGEAR INC, SANTA CLARA CA 95054
Martin Westhead officer: CTO 350 E. PLUMERIA DR., SAN JOSE CA 95134
Andrew Wonki Kim officer: SVP, Legal and Corp. Dev. 892 RUSSET DR., SUNNYVALE CA 94087
Vikram Mehta officer: SVP, CBU 350 E. PLUMERIA DR., SAN JOSE CA 95134
Laura Durr director C/O XPERI HOLDING CORPORATION, 3025 ORCHARD PARKWAY, SAN JOSE CA 95134
Mark G Merrill officer: Chief Technology Officer
Patrick Cs Lo director, officer: Chairman and CEO
David John Henry officer: SVP, Home Networking 350 E. PLUMERIA DR., SAN JOSE CA 95134
Michael F Falcon officer: SVP, Operations
Tamesa Rogers officer: SVP, Human Resources 350 EAST PLUMERIA DR, SAN JOSE CA 95134