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PLYA (Playa Hotels & Resorts NV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Jul. 02, 2025)


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What is Playa Hotels & Resorts NV Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Playa Hotels & Resorts NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Playa Hotels & Resorts NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Resorts & Casinos subindustry, Playa Hotels & Resorts NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Playa Hotels & Resorts NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Playa Hotels & Resorts NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Playa Hotels & Resorts NV's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Playa Hotels & Resorts NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Playa Hotels & Resorts NV  (NAS:PLYA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Playa Hotels & Resorts NV Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Playa Hotels & Resorts NV Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Keizersgracht 555, Amsterdam, NH, NLD, 1017 DR
Playa Hotels & Resorts NV acts as an owner, operator, and developer of all-inclusive resorts in prime beachfront locations in popular vacation destinations in Mexico and the Caribbean. The company has four reportable segments by geography, including the Yucatan Peninsula, Pacific Coast, Dominican Republic, and Jamaica. It generates a majority of its revenue from the Yucatan Peninsula segment. Its brand profile consists of Hyatt Ziva, Hyatt Zilara, Hilton, Jewel Resorts, and others.
Executives
Davidson Kempner Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Karl Mr. Peterson officer: Principal Executive Officer 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Brandon B Buhler officer: Chief Accounting Officer 3950 UNIVERSITY DRIVE, SUITE 301, FAIRFAX VA 20175
Gregory Maliassas officer: Chief Operating Officer BLVD. KUKULCAN M27, LT 1-02, UC27, 2 LOC B 01 B ZONA HOTELERA, CANCUN O5 77500
Fernando Mulet officer: Chief Investment Officer C/O PLAYA HOTELS & RESORTS N.V., 1560 SAWGRASS CORPORATE PARKWAY, STE 140, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33323
Ryan Paul Hymel officer: Sr Vice President & Treasurer PLAYA HOTELS & RESORTS, 3950 UNIVERSITY DRIVE, SUITE 301, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Colden Tracy M J officer: EVP & General Counsel C/O PLAYA HOTELS & RESORTS N.V.,, 3950 UNIVERSITY DRIVE, SUITE 301, FAIRFAX VA 22030
Dkip (cayman) Ltd Ii 10 percent owner 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Dkldo V Trading Subsidiary Lp 10 percent owner CAYMAN CORPORATE CENTRE, 27 HOSPITAL ROAD, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9008
Davidson Kempner Distressed Opportunities International Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O WALKERS CORPORATE LTD., CAYMAN CORP CENTRE, 27 HOSPITAL RD, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-9008
M.h. Davidson & Co. 10 percent owner 885 THIRD AVENUE, SUITE 3300, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner Distressed Opportunities Fund Lp 10 percent owner C/O DK GROUP LLC, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Anthony Alexander Yoseloff 10 percent owner DAVIDSON KEMPNER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Davidson Kempner Institutional Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O DAVIDSON KEMPNER ADVISERS INC., 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Kempner Partners Davidson 10 percent owner C/O MHD MANAGEMENT CO., 520 MADISON AVENUE, 30TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022