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PTGX (Protagonist Therapeutics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jul. 01, 2025)


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What is Protagonist Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Protagonist Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Protagonist Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Protagonist Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Protagonist Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Protagonist Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Protagonist Therapeutics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.


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Protagonist Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Protagonist Therapeutics  (NAS:PTGX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Protagonist Therapeutics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Protagonist Therapeutics Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7707 Gateway Boulevard, Suite 140, Newark, CA, USA, 94560
Protagonist Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company having a proprietary technology platform that enables the discovery and development of novel constrained peptide-based drug candidates to address medical needs. Its pipeline products include Rusfertide (PTG-300) and JNJ-2113.
Executives
Asif Ali officer: Chief Financial Officer 7707 GATEWAY BLVD., SUITE 140, NEWARK CA 94560
William D. Waddill director C/O CALITHERA BIOSCIENCES, 343 OYSTER POINT BLVD, SUITE 200, SO. SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Arturo Md Molina officer: Chief Medical Officer 10990 WILSHIRE BLVD, SUITE 1200, LOS ANGELES CA 90024
Patel Dinesh V Ph D director, officer: President and CEO C/O PROTAGONIST THERAPEUTICS, INC., 521 COTTONWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 100, MILPITAS CA 95035
Suneel Gupta officer: Chief Development Officer 7707 GATEWAY BLVD., SUITE 140, NEWARK CA 94560
Swisher Daniel N Jr director C/O SUNESIS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 395 OYSTER POINT BLVD., SUITE 400, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Lewis T Williams director C/O FIVE PRIME THERAPEUTICS, INC., TWO CORPORATE DRIVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Sarah B. Noonberg director 331 OYSTER POINT BOULEVARD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Sarah A O'dowd director 3185 LAURELVIEW COURT, FREMONT CA 94538
Harold E Selick director
Bryan Giraudo director 7707 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 140, NEWARK CA 94560
Donald A. Kalkofen officer: Chief Financial Officer 7707 GATEWAY BOULEVARD, SUITE 140, NEWARK CA 94560
David Y Liu officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O PROTAGONIST THERAPEUTICS, INC., 521 COTTONWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 100, MILPITAS CA 95035
Chaitan Phd Khosla director 3832 BAY CENTER PLACE, HAYWARD CA 94545
Richard S Shame officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O PROTAGONIST THERAPEUTICS, INC., 521 COTTONWOOD DRIVE, SUITE 100, MILPITAS CA 95035