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AAP (Advance Auto Parts) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $6.64 (As of Mar. 2025)


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What is Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $-3.289. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $6.64 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Advance Auto Parts's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -14.90% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.60% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Advance Auto Parts was 14.00% per year. The lowest was -3.40% per year. And the median was 8.45% per year.

As of today (2025-07-01), Advance Auto Parts's current stock price is $48.26. Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $6.64. Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 7.27.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Advance Auto Parts was 42.19. The lowest was 4.65. And the median was 23.80.


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Advance Auto Parts Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.83 7.71 8.04 7.77 6.96

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.80 7.56 7.35 6.96 6.64

Competitive Comparison of Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Auto Parts subindustry, Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Advance Auto Parts's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=-3.289/134.9266*134.9266
=-3.289

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

Advance Auto Parts Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 2.322 100.684 3.112
201509 1.933 100.392 2.598
201512 1.477 99.792 1.997
201603 -0.009 100.470 -0.012
201606 0.964 101.688 1.279
201609 2.062 101.861 2.731
201612 0.554 101.863 0.734
201703 -0.408 102.862 -0.535
201706 2.364 103.349 3.086
201709 1.283 104.136 1.662
201712 2.306 104.011 2.991
201803 1.610 105.290 2.063
201806 3.538 106.317 4.490
201809 2.618 106.507 3.317
201812 0.558 105.998 0.710
201903 1.986 107.251 2.498
201906 3.298 108.070 4.118
201909 2.244 108.329 2.795
201912 -2.066 108.420 -2.571
202003 -1.042 108.902 -1.291
202006 5.486 108.767 6.805
202009 4.454 109.815 5.473
202012 1.257 109.897 1.543
202103 3.919 111.754 4.732
202106 5.943 114.631 6.995
202109 1.379 115.734 1.608
202112 1.324 117.630 1.519
202203 -2.751 121.301 -3.060
202206 4.395 125.017 4.743
202209 0.863 125.227 0.930
202212 3.122 125.222 3.364
202303 -7.936 127.348 -8.408
202306 2.693 128.729 2.823
202309 2.795 129.860 2.904
202312 3.470 129.419 3.618
202403 -0.719 131.776 -0.736
202406 0.640 132.554 0.651
202409 0.548 133.029 0.556
202412 -2.074 133.157 -2.102
202503 -3.289 134.927 -3.289

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Advance Auto Parts  (NYSE:AAP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=48.26/6.64
=7.27

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Advance Auto Parts was 42.19. The lowest was 4.65. And the median was 23.80.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Advance Auto Parts Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Advance Auto Parts's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Advance Auto Parts Business Description

Address
4200 Six Forks Road, Raleigh, NC, USA, 27609
Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto-parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations. About half of the firm's sales are geared toward the professional channel, with the remaining sales in the do-it-yourself market. Through its vast store footprint and distribution network, Advance manages thousands of stock-keeping units for various vehicle makes and models. The retailer primarily competes on the basis of inventory availability and service speed, making the operating efficiency of its hub-and-spoke distribution model critical to meeting customer needs.
Executives
Shane M Okelly director, officer: Director, President and CEO 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Lee Eugene I Jr director 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Tammy M Finley officer: SVP, Human Resources ADVANCE AUTO PARTS, INC., 5008 AIRPORT RD, ROANOKE VA 24012
Kristen L Soler officer: EVP, Chief HR Officer 12200 FOX VALLEY STREET, RALEIGH NC 27614
Jones Jeffrey J Ii director ONE H&R BLOCK WAY, KANSAS CITY MO 64105
Word Herman L Jr officer: EVP, U.S. Stores & CQ Ind. 1033 LINENHALL WAY, WAKE FOREST NC 27587
Carla Jean Bailo director 1775 SHERMAN STREET, SUITE 1200, DENVER CO 80203
Anthony A Iskander officer: Interim CFO, SVP, Fin & Treas 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Douglas A Pertz director 1801 BAYBERRY COURT, RICHMOND VA 23226
Joan M Hilson director 150 THORN HILL DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15086-7528
John Francis Ferraro director 9 WALNUT AVE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02140
Szilagyi J Stephen officer: EVP Chief Supply Chain Officer 15027 JUNE WASHAM ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Pellicciotti William J Jr officer: SVP, Controller and CAO 4200 SIX FORKS ROAD, RALEIGH NC 27609
Robert B Cushing officer: EVP, Commercial 1432 FREEMAN LANE, PLEASANTON VA 94566
Sherice Torres director PO BOX 20833, SAN JOSE CA 95160