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KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $2.77 (As of Mar. 2025)


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What is Keurig Dr Pepper Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Keurig Dr Pepper's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $0.055. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.77 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

During the past 12 months, Keurig Dr Pepper's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -11.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.50% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -4.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Keurig Dr Pepper was 2.40% per year. The lowest was -8.40% per year. And the median was -4.50% per year.

As of today (2025-07-03), Keurig Dr Pepper's current stock price is $33.83. Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $2.77. Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 12.21.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Keurig Dr Pepper was 29.99. The lowest was 5.46. And the median was 10.90.


Keurig Dr Pepper Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Keurig Dr Pepper Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Keurig Dr Pepper Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.10 3.19 3.41 3.15 2.78

Keurig Dr Pepper Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.14 3.01 2.86 2.78 2.77

Competitive Comparison of Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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Keurig Dr Pepper Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Keurig Dr Pepper's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=0.055/134.9266*134.9266
=0.055

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

Keurig Dr Pepper Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 1.169 100.684 1.567
201509 1.802 100.392 2.422
201512 0.957 99.792 1.294
201603 0.899 100.470 1.207
201606 1.019 101.688 1.352
201609 1.142 101.861 1.513
201612 1.118 101.863 1.481
201703 0.433 102.862 0.568
201706 1.546 103.349 2.018
201709 1.527 104.136 1.979
201712 1.040 104.011 1.349
201803 0.312 105.290 0.400
201806 0.348 106.317 0.442
201809 0.318 106.507 0.403
201812 0.337 105.998 0.429
201903 0.372 107.251 0.468
201906 0.390 108.070 0.487
201909 0.359 108.329 0.447
201912 0.365 108.420 0.454
202003 0.175 108.902 0.217
202006 0.368 108.767 0.457
202009 0.361 109.815 0.444
202012 0.460 109.897 0.565
202103 0.308 111.754 0.372
202106 0.339 114.631 0.399
202109 0.458 115.734 0.534
202112 0.589 117.630 0.676
202203 0.380 121.301 0.423
202206 0.419 125.017 0.452
202209 0.474 125.227 0.511
202212 0.448 125.222 0.483
202303 -0.030 127.348 -0.032
202306 0.206 128.729 0.216
202309 0.326 129.860 0.339
202312 0.101 129.419 0.105
202403 -0.075 131.776 -0.077
202406 0.385 132.554 0.392
202409 0.369 133.029 0.374
202412 0.495 133.157 0.502
202503 0.055 134.927 0.055

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Keurig Dr Pepper  (NAS:KDP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=33.83/2.77
=12.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Keurig Dr Pepper was 29.99. The lowest was 5.46. And the median was 10.90.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Keurig Dr Pepper Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Keurig Dr Pepper's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Keurig Dr Pepper Business Description

Address
53 South Avenue, Burlington, MA, USA, 01803
Keurig Dr Pepper was established in 2018 following a merger between Keurig Green Mountain Coffee and Dr Pepper Snapple. The company manufactures and distributes coffee systems (including coffee brewers and single-serve coffee pods) under the Keurig and Green Mountain brands, as well as ready-to-drink beverages including flavored (non-cola) sparkling soft drinks under well-known brands such as Dr Pepper, Snapple, and Canada Dry. The company controls production and route to market for its own brands through in-house manufacturing plants and distribution infrastructure and leverages these facilities to manufacture and distribute for third-party coffee and beverage brands via licensing and partnership agreements. The US and Canada make up 95% of revenue, with the rest from Mexico.
Executives
Mary Beth Denooyer officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Angela A. Stephens officer: Sr. Vice President, Controller 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Robert James Gamgort director, officer: CEO & President KEURIG DR PEPPER INC., 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Maple Holdings B.v. 10 percent owner OOSTERDOKSSTRAAT 80, AMSTERDAM P7 1011DK
Matthew Andrew Archambault officer: President, Commercial 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Roger Frederick Johnson officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803
Jab Holdings B.v. 10 percent owner PIET HEINKADE 55, AMSTERDAM P7 NL 1019 GM
Karin Rotem-wildeman officer: Chief R&D Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Robert S Singer director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Sudhanshu Shekhar Priyadarshi officer: Chief Financial Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Olivier Goudet director 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Peter Harf director C/O COTY INC., 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118
Timothy P. Cofer officer: Chief Operating Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Anthony Shoemaker officer: Chief Legal Officer 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034
Maria A. Sceppaguercio-gever officer: Chief Corp. Affairs Officer 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803