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PEP (PepsiCo) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $5.69 (As of Mar. 2025)


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What is PepsiCo Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

PepsiCo's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was $-1.145. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $5.69 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2025.

During the past 12 months, PepsiCo's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.80% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 5.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of PepsiCo was 13.30% per year. The lowest was -3.20% per year. And the median was 7.30% per year.

As of today (2025-07-05), PepsiCo's current stock price is $135.38. PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2025 was $5.69. PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 23.79.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of PepsiCo was 34.65. The lowest was 21.52. And the median was 27.58.


PepsiCo Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

PepsiCo Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

PepsiCo Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.97 5.40 5.67 5.86 5.87

PepsiCo Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.85 5.81 5.81 5.87 5.69

Competitive Comparison of PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.


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PepsiCo Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, PepsiCo's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2025 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2025 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2025)
=-1.145/134.9266*134.9266
=-1.145

Current CPI (Mar. 2025) = 134.9266.

PepsiCo Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201506 1.294 100.684 1.734
201509 2.281 100.392 3.066
201512 1.908 99.792 2.580
201603 -0.058 100.470 -0.078
201606 1.560 101.688 2.070
201609 2.114 101.861 2.800
201612 1.642 101.863 2.175
201703 -0.354 102.862 -0.464
201706 1.307 103.349 1.706
201709 2.253 104.136 2.919
201712 1.709 104.011 2.217
201803 -1.162 105.290 -1.489
201806 1.264 106.317 1.604
201809 2.115 106.507 2.679
201812 2.099 105.998 2.672
201903 -0.557 107.251 -0.701
201906 0.715 108.070 0.893
201909 2.052 108.329 2.556
201912 1.651 108.420 2.055
202003 -0.883 108.902 -1.094
202006 1.082 108.767 1.342
202009 2.716 109.815 3.337
202012 1.673 109.897 2.054
202103 -0.858 111.754 -1.036
202106 1.603 114.631 1.887
202109 2.392 115.734 2.789
202112 1.892 117.630 2.170
202203 -0.500 121.301 -0.556
202206 0.776 125.017 0.838
202209 2.428 125.227 2.616
202212 1.343 125.222 1.447
202303 -0.703 127.348 -0.745
202306 1.069 128.729 1.120
202309 3.317 129.860 3.446
202312 2.051 129.419 2.138
202403 -1.199 131.776 -1.228
202406 0.920 132.554 0.936
202409 2.726 133.029 2.765
202412 2.777 133.157 2.814
202503 -1.145 134.927 -1.145

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


PepsiCo  (NAS:PEP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=135.38/5.69
=23.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of PepsiCo was 34.65. The lowest was 21.52. And the median was 27.58.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


PepsiCo Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of PepsiCo's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


PepsiCo Business Description

Address
700 Anderson Hill Road, Purchase, NY, USA, 10577
PepsiCo is a global leader in snacks and beverages, owning well-known household brands including Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Lay's, Cheetos, and Doritos, among others. The company dominates the global savory snacks market and also ranks as the second-largest beverage provider in the world (behind Coca-Cola) with diversified exposure to carbonated soft drinks, or CSD, as well as water, sports, and energy drink offerings. Convenience foods account for approximately 55% of its total revenue, with beverages making up the rest. Pepsi owns the bulk of its manufacturing and distribution capacity in the US and overseas. International markets made up 40% of both total sales and operating profits in 2024.
Executives
Marie T. Gallagher officer: SVP and Controller PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Paula Santilli officer: CEO, Latin America PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
David Flavell officer: EVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Ramkumar Krishnan officer: CEO Intl Beverages & CCO TRACTOR SUPPLY, 5401 VIRGINIA WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Eugene Willemsen officer: CEO, AMESA PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Hugh F Johnston officer: EVP, Operations PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Becky Schmitt officer: EVP & Chief HR Officer 300 FRANK W. BURR BLVD., STE. 36, 6 FL., TEANECK NJ 07666
Jennifer Bailey director 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Susan M Diamond director 500 W MAIN ST., LOUISVILLE KY 40202
Robert C Pohlad director 4000 DAIN RAUSCHER PLAZA, 60 SOUTH SIXTH STREET, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Ramon Laguarta officer: CEO, PepsiCo Europe PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Steven C Williams officer: CEO, PFNA PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Kirk Tanner officer: President & COO, NAB PEPSICO, INC. 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577
Edith W Cooper director C/O ETSY, INC., 117 ADAMS STREET, BROOKLYN NY 11249
Dave J Lewis director PEPSICO, INC., 700 ANDERSON HILL ROAD, PURCHASE NY 10577