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CTOS (Custom Truck One Source) Earnings Power Value (EPV) : $-16.14 (As of Mar25)


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What is Custom Truck One Source Earnings Power Value (EPV)?

As of Mar25, Custom Truck One Source's earnings power value is $-16.14. *

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

Margin of Safety is N/A.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future. Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.


Custom Truck One Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Custom Truck One Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Chart

Custom Truck One Source Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Earnings Power Value (EPV)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - -11.95 -13.63 -14.88

Custom Truck One Source Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Earnings Power Value (EPV) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -14.03 -14.39 -15.45 -14.88 -16.14

Competitive Comparison of Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV)

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV), along with its competitors' market caps and Earnings Power Value (EPV) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) falls into.


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Custom Truck One Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Calculation

Earnings Power Value also known as just Earnings Power is a valuation technique popularised by Bruce Greenwald, an authority on value investing at Columbia University. It is arguably a better way to analyze stocks than Discounted Cash Flow analysis that relies on highly speculative growth assumptions many years into the future.

The basic concept of EPV is that one should value a stock based on the current free cash flow of a company and not on future projections which may, or may not, come true. This valuation tool excludes the potential growth that a company may have so that needs to be looked at separately. Since future growth is excluded from the analysis, only the maintenance capital expenditures are subtracted from after-tax EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) and growth capex is ignored.

Custom Truck One Source's "Earning Power" Calculation:

Average of Last 20 Quarters Last Quarter
Revenue 1,410
DDA 203
Operating Margin % 6.81
SGA * 25% 46
Tax Rate % 19.89
Maintenance Capex 243
Cash and Cash Equivalents 5
Short-Term Debt 799
Long-Term Debt 1,682
Shares Outstanding (Diluted) 228

1. Start with "Earnings" not including accounting adjustments (one-time charges not excluded unless policy has changed). "Earnings" are "Operating Income.

2. Look at average margins over a business/Industry cycle: Average Operating Margin = 6.81%

To normalize margins and eliminate the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle, it is usually best to take a long-term average of operating margins. Ideally this would be as long as 10 years and include at least one economic downturn. However, since most of companies do not have as long as 10-year history, here GuruFocus uses the latest 5 years data to do the calculation. To smooth out unusual years but reflect recent developments, we take an average of the 5 year margin.

3. Multiply average margins by sustainable revenues and then adjust for maintenance SGA. This yields "normalized" EBIT:

To be conservative, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year revenues as the sustainable revenue.
EPV analysis recognises that part of SG&A expenditure is made to maintain and replace the existing assets, while part is made to grow sales. Since EPV is only interested in what it costs a going concern to maintain its existing asset base, it adds back a percentage of SG&A (between 15% and 50% - this is a matter of judgment and industry knowledge) to make up for the fact that some of this expenditure went to fund growth and shouldn't be accounted for. To start off, we assume 25% for the sake of prudence.
Sustainable Revenue = $1,410 Mil, Average Operating Margin = 6.81%, Average Adjusted SGA = 46,
therefore "Normalized" EBIT = Sustainable Revenue * Average Operating Margin + Average Adjusted SGA = 1,410 * 6.81% +46 = $142.01304128 Mil.

4. Multiply by one minus Average Tax Rate (NOPAT):

Same as average operating margin calculation, GuruFocus takes an average of the 5 years tax rates.
Average Tax Rate = 19.89%, and "Normalized" EBIT = $142.01304128 Mil,
therefore After-tax "Normalized" EBIT = "Normalized" EBIT * ( 1 - Average Tax Rate ) = 142.01304128 * ( 1 - 19.89% ) = $113.76948763023 Mil.

5. Add back Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate). This yields "normalized" Earnings:

Excess Depreciation = Average DDA * % of Excess Depreciation (after tax at 1/2 average tax rate) = 203 * 0.5 * 19.89% = $20.153425248 Mil.
"Normalized" Earnings = After-tax "Normalized" EBIT + Excess Depreciation = 113.76948763023 + 20.153425248 = $133.92291287823 Mil.

6. Adjusted for Maintenance Capital Expenditure:

First, calculate the revenue change regarding to the previous year. If the revenue decreased from the previous year, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
Second, if the revenue increased from the previous year, then calculate the percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue.
Third, calculate Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was negative, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive).
If [Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase] was positive, then the Maintenance Capital Expenditure = Capital Expenditure (positive) - percentage of Net PPE as of corresponding Revenue * revenue increase.
Fourth, GuruFocus uses an average of the 5 year maintenance capital expenditures as maintenance CAPEX.
Custom Truck One Source's Average Maintenance CAPEX = $243 Mil *.
* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.

7. Investors require a return of "WACC" for the risk they are taking: WACC = 9%

8. Custom Truck One Source's current cash and cash equivalent = $5 Mil.
Custom Truck One Source's current interest bearing debt = Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation + Short-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation = 1,682 + 799 = $2480.873 Mil.
Custom Truck One Source's current Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) = 228 Mil.

Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) for Mar25 is calculated as:

EPV = ( ( Norm. Earnings-Maint. CAPEX *) / WACC + CashandEquiv - Int. Bearing Debt ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
= ( ( 133.92291287823 - 243)/ 9%+5-2480.873 )/228
=-16.14

Margin of Safety (EPV)=( Earnings Power Value (EPV)-Current Price )/Earnings Power Value (EPV)
=( -16.136925725475-5.01 )/-16.136925725475
= N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* GuruFocus does not store EPV value into our database if Average Maintenance CAPEX is 0.


Custom Truck One Source  (NYSE:CTOS) Earnings Power Value (EPV) Explanation

Assumption: Current profitability is sustainable.

Earnings power value (EPV) uses a very basic equation which assumes no growth, although it does rely on an assumption about the cost of capital as well as the fact that current earnings are sustainable. It also involves several adjustments to clean up the underlying Earnings figures.


Be Aware

Though using today's earnings in calculating Earnings Power Value, GuruFocus is normalizing these earnings to the business cycle. This eliminates the effects on profitability of valuing the firm at different points in the business cycle. This means that we are considering the average earnings over 5 years.


Custom Truck One Source Earnings Power Value (EPV) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Custom Truck One Source's Earnings Power Value (EPV) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Custom Truck One Source Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
7701 Independence Avenue, Kansas, MO, USA, 64125
Custom Truck One Source Inc is a one-stop-shop provider of specialty equipment in the electric utility transmission and distribution, forestry, telecom, waste management, rail, and infrastructure end-markets in North America. The company's segment includes Equipment Rental Solutions (ERS), Truck and Equipment Sales (TES), and Aftermarket Parts and Services (APS). It generates maximum revenue from the TES segment. Geographically, it derives a majority revenue from the United States.
Executives
Platinum Equity Llc 10 percent owner 360 NORTH CRESCENT DRIVE, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Pe One Source Holdings, Llc 10 percent owner 360 N. CRESCENT DRIVE, SOUTH BUILDING, BEVERLY HILLS CA 09210
Nesco Holdings, Lp 10 percent owner 51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Ecp Controlco, Llc 10 percent owner 40 BEECHWOOD ROAD, SUMMIT NJ 07901
Energy Capital Partners Management, Lp 10 percent owner 51 JOHN F. KENNEDY PARKWAY, SUITE 200, SHORT HILLS NJ 07078
Joe P. Ross officer: President - Sales C/O NESCO HOLDINGS, INC., 6714 POINTE INVERNESS WAY, SUITE 220, FORT WAYNE IN 46804
Thomas R. Rich officer: EVP - Rentals C/O NESCO HOLDINGS, INC., 6714 POINTE INVERNESS WAY, SUITE 220, FORT WAYNE IN 46804
Marshall Heinberg director 1 CORPORATE AVENUE, ROWVILLE C3 3178
Georgia R Nelson director C/O TOWER AUTOMOTIVE INC, 27175 HAGGERTY ROAD, NOVI MI 48377-3626
Ryan Mcmonagle officer: President, COO C/O NESCO HOLDINGS, INC., 6714 POINTE INVERNESS WAY, SUITE 220, FORT WAYNE IN 46804
Raymond Todd Barrett officer: Chief Accounting Officer 6714 POINT INVERNESS WAY, STE 220, FORT WAYNE IN 46804
Christopher J Eperjesy officer: Chief Financial Officer 505 HIGHWAY 169 NORTH, PLYMOUTH MN 55441
Mark Ein director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman and CEO
Paul M Jolas officer: EVP, General Counsel & Sec 331 N. MAIN ST., EULESS TX 76039
Mary M. Jackson director 7799 LEESBURG PIKE, SUITE 300 NORTH, FALLS CHURCH VA 22043