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FPH (Five Point Holdings LLC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $1.57 (As of Jul. 09, 2025)


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What is Five Point Holdings LLC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2025-07-09), Five Point Holdings LLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.57. The stock price of Five Point Holdings LLC is $5.78. Therefore, Five Point Holdings LLC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Five Point Holdings LLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

FPH' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.4   Med: 3.4   Max: 3.68
Current: 3.68

During the past 10 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Five Point Holdings LLC was 3.68. The lowest was 3.40. And the median was 3.40.

FPH's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
91.93% of 1276 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs FPH: 3.68

Five Point Holdings LLC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Five Point Holdings LLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Five Point Holdings LLC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Five Point Holdings LLC Annual Data
Trend Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -12.70 -15.41 -5.05 -0.32

Five Point Holdings LLC Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -4.58 -3.99 -3.15 -0.32 1.57

Competitive Comparison of Five Point Holdings LLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Real Estate - Development subindustry, Five Point Holdings LLC's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Five Point Holdings LLC's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Five Point Holdings LLC's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Five Point Holdings LLC's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.


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Five Point Holdings LLC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Five Point Holdings LLC's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-40.55.

Five Point Holdings LLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar25)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-40.54768+774.334*0.8)/148.824
=1.57

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Five Point Holdings LLC  (NYSE:FPH) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Five Point Holdings LLC's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.78/1.5685576923032
=3.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Five Point Holdings LLC Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Five Point Holdings LLC's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Five Point Holdings LLC Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2000 FivePoint, 4th Floor, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Five Point Holdings LLC is an owner and developer of mixed-use, master-planned communities in California. It is engaged in developing new communities that, in addition to homesites, include commercial, retail, educational, and recreational elements, as well as civic areas, parks, and open spaces. Its three reportable segments are Valencia, San Francisco, and Great Park. It derives the majority of revenue from the Great Park segment which includes Great Park Neighborhoods being developed adjacent to and around the Orange County Great Park, a metropolitan park under construction in Orange County, California.
Executives
Kim Tobler officer: See Remarks C/O FIVE POINT COMMUNITIES, INC., 2000 FIVEPOINT, 4TH FLOOR, IRVINE CA 92618
William Browning director 8066 PARK LANE, UNIT 602, DALLAS TX 75231
Luxor Capital Group, Lp 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Gary H Hunt director C/O WILLIAM LYON HOMES, 4695 MACARTHUR COURT, 8TH FLOOR, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Leo Kij officer: See Remarks C/O FIVE POINT COMMUNITIES, INC., 2000 FIVEPOINT, 4TH FLOOR, IRVINE CA 92618
Daniel Hedigan officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FIVE POINT HOLDINGS, LLC, 2000 FIVEPOINT, 4TH FLOOR, IRVINE CA 92618
Luxor Capital Partners Long, Lp 10 percent owner 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Luxor Capital Partners Long Offshore, Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O MAPLES CORPORATE SERVICES LIMITED, P.O. BOX 309, UGLAND HOUSE, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Jonathan F Foster director 777 THIRD AVE, 30TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thebes Partners, Lp 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Lcg Holdings Llc 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Luxor Capital Partners Offshore Ltd 10 percent owner C/O MAPLES CORPORATE SERVICES LTD., PO BOX 309, UGLAND HOUSE, GEORGE TOWN E9 KY1-1104
Luxor Wavefront, Lp 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Luxor Capital Partners, Lp 10 percent owner 7 TIMES SQUARE, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Anchorage Capital Group, L.l.c. 10 percent owner 610 BROADWAY, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10012