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Google (GOOG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $80.66 (As of Oct. 08, 2024)


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What is Alphabet(Google) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-10-08), Alphabet(Google)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $80.66. The stock price of Alphabet(Google) is $165.71. Therefore, Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alphabet(Google)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GOOG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.41   Med: 1.86   Max: 2.71
Current: 2.05

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alphabet(Google) was 2.71. The lowest was 1.41. And the median was 1.86.

GOOG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
66.55% of 287 companies
in the Interactive Media industry
Industry Median: 1.18 vs GOOG: 2.05

Alphabet(Google) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Alphabet(Google)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Alphabet(Google) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Alphabet(Google) Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.65 41.98 53.44 63.01 75.17

Alphabet(Google) Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 69.55 73.46 75.17 73.16 80.55

Competitive Comparison of Alphabet(Google)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Internet Content & Information subindustry, Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Interactive Media Industry

For the Interactive Media industry and Communication Services sector, Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Alphabet(Google) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alphabet(Google)'s Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $51,057.76.

Alphabet(Google)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*51057.76+300753*0.8)/12495.000
=79.99

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alphabet(Google)  (NAS:GOOG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=165.71/79.988490251259
=2.07

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Alphabet(Google) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Alphabet(Google) Business Description

Address
1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA, USA, 94043
Alphabet is a holding company that wholly owns internet giant Google. The California-based company derives slightly less than 90% of its revenue from Google services, the vast majority of which is advertising sales. Alongside online ads, Google services houses sales stemming from Google's subscription services (YouTube TV, YouTube Music among others), platforms (sales and in-app purchases on Play Store), and devices (Chromebooks, Pixel smartphones, and smart home products such as Chromecast). Google's cloud computing platform, or GCP, accounts for roughly 10% of Alphabet's revenue with the firm's investments in up-and-coming technologies such as self-driving cars (Waymo), health (Verily), and internet access (Google Fiber) making up the rest.
Executives
John L Hennessy director
Sundar Pichai director, officer: Chief Executive Officer GOOGLE INC., 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Frances Arnold director 5200 ILLUMINA WAY, SAN DIEGO CA 92122
Ruth Porat officer: SVP, CFO C/O GOOGLE INC., 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PRKW, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Kavitark Ram Shriram director 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Ann Mather director
Lawrence Page director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, BUILDING 41, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Sergey Brin director, 10 percent owner 555 BRYANT STREET, #367, PALO ALTO CA 94031
L John Doerr director C/O KLEINER PERKINS CAUFIELD & BYERS, 2750 SAND HILL ROAD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Ferguson Roger W. Jr. director CORNING INCORPORATED, ONE RIVERFRONT PLAZA, CORNING NY 14831
Alan R Mulally director P.O. BOX 995, MERCER ISLAND WA 98040
Robin L Washington director 333 LAKESIDE DRIVE, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
David C Drummond officer: SVP, Corporate Development 1600 AMIPHITHEATRE PARKWAY, BUILDING 41, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043
Eric E Schmidt director 1010 ALMA STREET, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Diane B Greene director C/O ALPHABET INC.,, 1600 AMPHITHEATRE PKWY, MOUNTAIN VIEW CA 94043