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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-10-08), Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $31.86. The stock price of Keurig Dr Pepper is $36.19. Therefore, Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.
The historical rank and industry rank for Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Keurig Dr Pepper was 10.62. The lowest was 0.96. And the median was 1.43.
The historical data trend for Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Keurig Dr Pepper Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 20.63 | 22.06 | 24.31 | 26.24 | 27.57 |
Keurig Dr Pepper Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | Jun24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 26.62 | 26.92 | 27.57 | 31.98 | 31.86 |
For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Keurig Dr Pepper's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,820.64.
Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Jun24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (12.95911409947 | * | 1820.64 | + | 24718 | * | 0.8) | / | 1361.200 | |
= | 31.86 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Keurig Dr Pepper (NAS:KDP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Keurig Dr Pepper's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 36.19 | / | 31.860330218968 | |
= | 1.14 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Keurig Dr Pepper's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Matthew Andrew Archambault | officer: President, Commercial | 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Angela A. Stephens | officer: Sr. Vice President, Controller | 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Roger Frederick Johnson | officer: Chief Supply Chain Officer | 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803 |
Maple Holdings B.v. | 10 percent owner | OOSTERDOKSSTRAAT 80, AMSTERDAM P7 1011DK |
Jab Holdings B.v. | 10 percent owner | PIET HEINKADE 55, AMSTERDAM P7 NL 1019 GM |
Karin Rotem-wildeman | officer: Chief R&D Officer | 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Robert S Singer | director | 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054 |
Sudhanshu Shekhar Priyadarshi | officer: Chief Financial Officer | 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Robert James Gamgort | director, officer: CEO & President | KEURIG DR PEPPER INC., 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Olivier Goudet | director | 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118 |
Peter Harf | director | C/O COTY INC., 350 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10118 |
Timothy P. Cofer | officer: Chief Operating Officer | 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Anthony Shoemaker | officer: Chief Legal Officer | 6425 HALL OF FAME LANE, FRISCO TX 75034 |
Maria A. Sceppaguercio-gever | officer: Chief Corp. Affairs Officer | 53 SOUTH AVENUE, BURLINGTON MA 01803 |
Mondelez International, Inc. | director | 905 WEST FULTON MARKET, SUITE 200, CHICAGO IL 60607 |
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