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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS (FRA:TUL1) Beneish M-Score : -2.04 (As of Oct. 09, 2024)


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What is Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.04 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

FRA:TUL1' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.13   Med: -2.34   Max: -1.64
Current: -2.04

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS was -1.64. The lowest was -5.13. And the median was -2.34.


Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.79 -2.40 -3.00 -2.18 -3.10

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Quarterly Data
Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.57 -3.18 -3.10 -2.42 -2.04

Competitive Comparison of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.7995+0.528 * 0.7493+0.404 * 1.1478+0.892 * 0.6488+0.115 * 2.4399
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.1845+4.679 * -0.059905-0.327 * 0.6626
=-2.17

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was €758 Mil.
Revenue was 997.193 + 885.82 + 1330.693 + 902.084 = €4,116 Mil.
Gross Profit was 239.547 + 190.897 + -56.41 + 359.553 = €734 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €3,225 Mil.
Total Assets was €8,560 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €2,621 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €1,016 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €377 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €2,060 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €1,829 Mil.
Net Income was 82.953 + 75.716 + 34.619 + 190.127 = €383 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -51.869 + 16.075 + -74.702 + -4.521 = €-115 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 319.11 + 160.577 + 390.616 + 140.937 = €1,011 Mil.
Total Receivables was €649 Mil.
Revenue was 1364.405 + 1355.315 + 2815.822 + 808.632 = €6,344 Mil.
Gross Profit was 307.747 + 258.647 + 15.633 + 265.293 = €847 Mil.
Total Current Assets was €2,704 Mil.
Total Assets was €5,304 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was €1,135 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was €2,430 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was €491 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was €1,614 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was €2,023 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(758.019 / 4115.79) / (649.31 / 6344.174)
=0.184173 / 0.102347
=1.7995

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(847.32 / 6344.174) / (733.587 / 4115.79)
=0.133559 / 0.178237
=0.7493

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (3224.606 + 2620.832) / 8560.383) / (1 - (2703.635 + 1134.912) / 5304.154)
=0.317152 / 0.276313
=1.1478

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=4115.79 / 6344.174
=0.6488

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(2429.913 / (2429.913 + 1134.912)) / (1016.055 / (1016.055 + 2620.832))
=0.681636 / 0.279375
=2.4399

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(377.089 / 4115.79) / (490.713 / 6344.174)
=0.09162 / 0.077349
=1.1845

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((1828.905 + 2060.196) / 8560.383) / ((2022.727 + 1614.089) / 5304.154)
=0.454314 / 0.685654
=0.6626

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(383.415 - -115.017 - 1011.24) / 8560.383
=-0.059905

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS has a M-score of -2.17 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Aydinevler Mahallesi Inonu Caddesi No. 20, Kucukyali Ofispark B Blok, Turkcell Kucukyali Plaza, Maltepe, Istanbul, TUR, 34854
Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri AS provides mobile telephone services in Turkey. The firm's services portfolio includes high-quality mobile and fixed voice, data, TV, and digital services over its network. The firm also operates in the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, Belarus, Netherlands, and Ukraine. It has three main reportable segments, Turkcell Turkiye, Turkcell International, and Techfin. The Turkcell Turkiye segment that derives the majority of revenue comprises mainly telecommunication and technology services activities.

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