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WMG (Warner Music Group) Beneish M-Score : -2.63 (As of Jul. 04, 2025)


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What is Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -2.63 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

WMG' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.19   Med: -2.57   Max: -2.04
Current: -2.63

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Warner Music Group was -2.04. The lowest was -3.19. And the median was -2.57.


Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Warner Music Group Annual Data
Trend Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.14 -2.54 -2.53 -2.45 -2.42

Warner Music Group Quarterly Data
Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.40 -2.47 -2.42 -2.59 -2.63

Competitive Comparison of Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score

For the Entertainment subindustry, Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Media - Diversified Industry

For the Media - Diversified industry and Communication Services sector, Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Warner Music Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Warner Music Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.0269+0.528 * 1.0113+0.404 * 1.0208+0.892 * 0.9909+0.115 * 1.0037
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 1.0166+4.679 * -0.03773-0.327 * 0.9911
=-2.63

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Mar25) TTM:Last Year (Mar24) TTM:
Total Receivables was $1,218 Mil.
Revenue was 1484 + 1666 + 1630 + 1554 = $6,334 Mil.
Gross Profit was 693 + 772 + 776 + 724 = $2,965 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,599 Mil.
Total Assets was $9,568 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $720 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $339 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,773 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,916 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,508 Mil.
Net Income was 36 + 236 + 41 + 139 = $452 Mil.
Non Operating Income was -77 + 126 + -133 + 4 = $-80 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was 69 + 332 + 304 + 188 = $893 Mil.
Total Receivables was $1,197 Mil.
Revenue was 1494 + 1748 + 1586 + 1564 = $6,392 Mil.
Gross Profit was 703 + 868 + 741 + 714 = $3,026 Mil.
Total Current Assets was $2,450 Mil.
Total Assets was $8,731 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was $695 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was $329 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was $1,760 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was $3,533 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was $4,223 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(1218 / 6334) / (1197 / 6392)
=0.192296 / 0.187265
=1.0269

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(3026 / 6392) / (2965 / 6334)
=0.473404 / 0.468109
=1.0113

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2599 + 720) / 9568) / (1 - (2450 + 695) / 8731)
=0.653115 / 0.639789
=1.0208

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=6334 / 6392
=0.9909

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(329 / (329 + 695)) / (339 / (339 + 720))
=0.321289 / 0.320113
=1.0037

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(1773 / 6334) / (1760 / 6392)
=0.279918 / 0.275344
=1.0166

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4508 + 3916) / 9568) / ((4223 + 3533) / 8731)
=0.880435 / 0.888329
=0.9911

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(452 - -80 - 893) / 9568
=-0.03773

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warner Music Group has a M-score of -2.63 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Warner Music Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Warner Music Group Business Description

Address
1633 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10019
Warner Music is the third-largest of the three major record companies. Recorded music accounts for most of the firm's revenue, with the segment housing notable record labels including Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records. Some of the most successful current artists signed to record deals with Warner include Ed Sheeran, Bruno Mars, Cardi B, and Dua Lipa. Warner's remaining revenue comes from its publishing business, where Warner Chappell represents more than 180,000 songwriters and composers, some of whom are also Warner recording artists but many of whom are not recording artists or are attached to other labels. Warner Chappell controls more than 1 million musical compositions. Access Industries controls 98% of Warner's voting rights, while holding a 72% economic interest.
Executives
Timothy Matusch officer: EVP Strategy & Operations C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Valentin Blavatnik director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Maria Osherova officer: EVP, Chief Human Res. Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Lincoln E Benet director C/O LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N.V., DELFTSEPLEIN 27E, ROTTERDAM P7 3013AA
Max Lousada director, officer: CEO, Recorded Music C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Carletta Higginson officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Bryan Castellani officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Entertainment Holdings Ii Llc 10 percent owner 40 WEST 57TH STREET, 28TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Robert Kyncl officer: Co-CEO C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Nancy Dubuc director C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Ai Entertainment Holdings Llc 10 percent owner C/O ACCESS INDUSTRIES, LLC, 40 WEST 57TH ST, 28TH FLR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Louis Dickler officer: Acting CFO & Corp. Contr. C/O WARNER MUSIC GROUP CORP., 1633 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10019
Thomas H Lee director C/O THOMAS H. LEE CAPITAL LLC, 767 FIFTH AVENUE, 6TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10153
Michael Lynton director 2000 AVENUE OF THE STARS 12TH FL, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Ynon Kreiz director 333 CONTINENTAL BOULEVARD, M1: 1518, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245